UPDATED: 04-07-26 18:12 PDT

stick Colgate
  
Colgate               
W-L: ( 5- 6) PR = 81.9248

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 7- 7, 82.2) 14-12 214 A Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 6- 7, 78.8) 16-10 221 H Binghamton America East ( 5- 7, 80.5) 13-16 228 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (11- 3, 93.1) 6-24 304 A Penn State Big Ten (10- 3, 93.7) 8-20 307 H Albany America East ( 9- 4, 85.0) 13-16 314 A American Patriot ( 2-10, 77.4) 11-10 321 H Lafayette Patriot ( 4- 7, 79.2) 20-13 325 A Bucknell Patriot ( 7- 4, 85.1) 10-12 328 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 5- 7, 83.0) 13-17 404 H Lehigh Patriot ( 5- 8, 79.9) 20-16 411 A Loyola (MD) Patriot ( 9- 5, 90.0) 415 A Boston University Patriot ( 6- 7, 84.3) 418 H Navy Patriot (12- 1, 92.7) 423 H Army Patriot (10- 2, 91.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A St Bonaventure         14-12       2    -1    +      3.49
   214 A Niagara                16-10       6     2    ++     4.06
   221 H Binghamton             13-16      -3     3    --    -5.65
   228 A Johns Hopkins           6-24     -18   -12          -1.60
   304 A Penn State              8-20     -12   -13           0.95
   307 H Albany                 13-16      -3    -2          -1.10
   314 A American               11-10       1     3    -     -2.29
   321 H Lafayette              20-13       7     4    +      3.08
   325 A Bucknell               10-12      -2    -4    +      2.39
   328 H Holy Cross             13-17      -4     0    --    -4.10
   404 H Lehigh                 20-16       4     3           0.75

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Binghamton             13-16      -3     3    --    -5.65
   328 H Holy Cross             13-17      -4     0    --    -4.10
   314 A American               11-10       1     3    -     -2.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Niagara                16-10       6     2    ++     4.06
   206 A St Bonaventure         14-12       2    -1    +      3.49
   321 H Lafayette              20-13       7     4    +      3.08
   325 A Bucknell               10-12      -2    -4    +      2.39

Colgate Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Akron Colgate   Colgate
Albany Albany Albany  
American Colgate Colgate  
Arizona State Arizona State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Arizona State
Army Army insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Army
Austin Peay Colgate   Colgate
Binghamton Binghamton Binghamton  
Boston College Boston College insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Boston College
Boston University Boston University tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Boston University
Brown Brown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brown
Bryant Colgate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colgate
Bucknell Bucknell Bucknell  
Butler Colgate   Colgate
California California   California
Campbell Colgate   Colgate
Canisius Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
Central Connecticut Colgate   Colgate
Central Michigan Colgate   Colgate
Cincinnati Cincinnati   Cincinnati
Clemson Clemson   Clemson
Coastal Carolina Colgate   Colgate
Colorado Colorado   Colorado
Columbia Columbia insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Columbia
Connecticut Connecticut insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Connecticut
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Cornell
Dartmouth Dartmouth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dartmouth
Davidson Davidson insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Davidson
Delaware Delaware   Delaware
Delaware State Colgate   Colgate
Denver Denver   Denver
Detroit Mercy Colgate   Colgate
Drexel Drexel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Drexel
Duke Duke tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Duke
Duquesne Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
East Carolina East Carolina   East Carolina
Eastern Michigan Colgate   Colgate
Elon Elon   Elon
Fairfield Fairfield   Fairfield
Fairleigh Dickinson Colgate   Colgate
Florida Florida   Florida
Florida State Florida State   Florida State
Furman Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
Gardner Webb Colgate   Colgate
George Mason Colgate tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Colgate
George Washington Colgate tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Colgate
Georgetown Georgetown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Georgetown
Harvard Harvard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Harvard
High Point Colgate   Colgate
Hofstra Hofstra   Hofstra
Holy Cross Holy Cross Holy Cross  
Howard (DC) Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
Iona Colgate Colgate   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
James Madison James Madison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) James Madison
Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins Johns Hopkins  
Kennesaw State Colgate   Colgate
Kent State Colgate   Colgate
La Salle Colgate Colgate   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lafayette Colgate Colgate  
Le Moyne Colgate tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Colgate
Lehigh Colgate Colgate  
Liberty Colgate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colgate
Lindenwood Colgate   Colgate
LIU Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
Longwood Colgate   Colgate
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Loyola (MD) Loyola (MD) tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Loyola (MD)
Manhattan Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
Marist Colgate insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Colgate
Marquette Marquette tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Marquette
Maryland Maryland Maryland   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Massachusetts Massachusetts insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Massachusetts
Massachusetts-Lowell Colgate tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Colgate
Mercer Mercer   Mercer
Mercyhurst Colgate   Colgate
Merrimack Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
Michigan Michigan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Michigan
Monmouth (NJ) Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
Mount St Marys Colgate insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Colgate
Navy Navy Navy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
New Hampshire Colgate tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Colgate
New Haven Colgate   Colgate
Niagara Colgate Colgate  
North Carolina North Carolina   North Carolina
Northwestern Northwestern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwestern
Notre Dame Notre Dame   Notre Dame
Ohio State Ohio State tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ohio State
Old Dominion Colgate   Colgate
Oregon Colgate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colgate
Penn Penn tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Penn
Penn State Penn State Penn State  
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Pittsburgh
Presbyterian Colgate   Colgate
Princeton Princeton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Princeton
Queens Colgate   Colgate
Quinnipiac Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
Radford Colgate   Colgate
Rhode Island Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Colgate
Richmond Richmond tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Richmond
Rider Colgate Colgate   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Robert Morris Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Colgate
Rutgers Rutgers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rutgers
Sacred Heart Colgate   Colgate
San Diego State Colgate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colgate
Siena Colgate tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Colgate
South Florida South Florida tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Florida
Southern California Southern California tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Southern California
St Bonaventure Colgate Colgate  
St Josephs (PA) St Josephs (PA) tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) St Josephs (PA)
Stanford Stanford   Stanford
Stetson Colgate   Colgate
Stonehill Colgate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colgate
Stony Brook Stony Brook insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Stony Brook
Syracuse Syracuse insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Syracuse
Temple Temple tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Temple
Towson Towson   Towson
UC Davis UC Davis   UC Davis
UMBC Colgate insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Colgate
UNC-Charlotte Colgate   Colgate
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt   Vanderbilt
VCU VCU tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) VCU
Vermont Vermont   Vermont
Villanova Villanova insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Villanova
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech   Virginia Tech
Wagner Colgate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colgate
William & Mary Colgate   Colgate
Winthrop Colgate   Colgate
Wofford Colgate   Colgate
Xavier Colgate   Colgate
Yale Yale   Yale
Youngstown State Colgate tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colgate

PowerWise = 65


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.45

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A St Bonaventure  ( 7- 7, 82.2)    14-12      -17.70      23.01       1.22         1.13            54.84
   0 A Niagara         ( 6- 7, 78.8)    16-10      -21.13      19.58       1.22         1.13            47.07
   0 H Binghamton      ( 5- 7, 80.5)    13-16      -19.41      21.30      -1.22         1.13           -11.67
   0 A Johns Hopkins   (11- 3, 93.1)     6-24       -6.79      33.91       1.22         1.13            -3.16
   0 A Penn State      (10- 3, 93.7)     8-20       -6.24      34.47       1.22         1.13            -2.84
   0 H Albany          ( 9- 4, 85.0)    13-16      -14.85      25.85      -1.22         1.13            -9.10
   0 A American        ( 2-10, 77.4)    11-10      -22.48      18.23       1.22         1.13            44.02
   0 H Lafayette       ( 4- 7, 79.2)    20-13      -20.68      20.03      -1.22         1.13            42.58
   0 A Bucknell        ( 7- 4, 85.1)    10-12      -14.80      25.91       1.22         1.13            -7.69
   0 H Holy Cross      ( 5- 7, 83.0)    13-17      -16.85      23.85      -1.22         1.13           -10.23
   0 H Lehigh          ( 5- 8, 79.9)    20-16      -20.00      20.70      -1.22         1.13            44.11
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       187.94

winning pts = 232.6163 losing points = -44.6812

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------